What Happened?
Shares of luxury electric car manufacturer Lucid (NASDAQ:LCID) fell 9.7% in the afternoon session after the company reported second-quarter results that missed analyst expectations and lowered its full-year production forecast. The company posted revenue of $259.4 million, which fell roughly in line with analyst estimates. Lucid also cut its 2025 production outlook to a range of 18,000 to 20,000 vehicles, down from a previous target of 20,000. The report revealed a negative gross margin, a figure that included a $54 million hit from tariffs and signaled significant cost pressures.
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What Is The Market Telling Us
Lucid’s shares are extremely volatile and have had 55 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was 8 days ago when the stock dropped 7.7% on the news that bellwether United Parcel Service (UPS) reported weak earnings and withheld its full-year guidance, citing “macro-economic uncertainty” and low consumer sentiment. The logistics giant reported a decline in revenue and missed profit estimates, sending a chill through the entire logistics chain. UPS pointed to a challenging economic environment and near-historic lows in U.S. consumer confidence as key factors for its performance. By withholding its full-year forecast, the company signaled significant uncertainty ahead, confirming fears of a broader economic slowdown that could impact demand for shipping and freight services. This news weighed on other ground and rail transportation stocks, as investors worried that the headwinds affecting UPS could be a sign of wider issues across the industry.
Lucid is down 27.2% since the beginning of the year, and at $2.21 per share, it is trading 48.2% below its 52-week high of $4.26 from August 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Lucid’s shares at the IPO in September 2020 would now be looking at an investment worth $222.95.
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